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  1. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    I think Disney was pretty hopeful, and Florida is pretty gung ho to open things up. But I have my doubts that they could charge enough to make it worthwhile without the parks being fully operational, the multiple restaurants etc. plus USASF training/safety requirements would be hard to engage in...
  2. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    That is the point, that I’m actually trying to make. Epidemic numbers at the outset are not accurate. They can’t be. The best that can be done is to construct models based on known data. The real figures will flush themselves out. Policy needs to be fluid, but also utilize fluctuations that are...
  3. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    I understand what you are saying, and am not saying there isn’t some impact. But I’m pointing out that CDC does go back, and look for evidence of flu symptoms retroactively, and routinely adds numbers to their annual counts, and that pneumonia etc are very routinely included on death...
  4. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    The CDC goes back, retroactively and examines death certificates including flu and flu like causes of deaths in their annual influenza reports. Real time flu numbers don’t include non-hospital deaths either, they have to go back and add those as well. So yeah, including them now may seem to be...
  5. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    yes, like I said @ some point I believe that the Summit and also some volleyball tournament will be the soft opening. I worry about their commitment to the date ranges though. However, DeSantis just went to the Whitehouse and doubled down on his plans. Since he’s entering Phase 1, late June...
  6. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    So the IHME just updated projections, delaying the date by which Florida is “ready” for relaxed social distancing by one week, which puts it to the date of opening during the new summit. It seems fairly evident that the state itself is not going by this, so WDW may not either, though I’m not...
  7. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    I would tend to agree. But I’m not completely sure, Disney has technically already cancelled April and May. There may be a postponement clause, and perhaps the survey was designed to see if Varsity would at least break even by holding it, when balancing cancellation fees. But most reports...
  8. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    It sounds as though they are using events as their “soft” opening, using them as their entry into “phase 2”. The dates are conspicuously close to the model dates for when social distancing measures could be switched to containment in the area. ( like within a week). I think it is ambitious, but...
  9. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    I read it in an economic article, which also featured another economist using the June 1 date. So who knows. I’m curious what the costs were for Summit last year? And what they were projected to be this year? Does anyone know?
  10. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    I was kind of being sarcastic... just using their terminology. They’ve invited everyone ( no bid required) from what I can tell. Except for maybe World’s teams... which is odd. Basically it appears that enough people said yes they would come that it won’t lose them $. But those hurdles are...
  11. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    Thank you. ETA: and I guess that answers who would be willing to go...”majority”
  12. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    Where is the post? Ugh. Our gym will definitely want to go. Hard decisions ahead.
  13. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    Like in person? Where?
  14. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    In all honesty, I think the gyms holding on fall into a couple of camps: *those who don’t believe that the shut down was necessary. *those who believe that providing normalcy for their “kids” and their teams , especially their seniors. and then there are actually probably some who trust that...
  15. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    Yeah, and then you need to have loopholes for withdrawals too. If a gym has fevers they’ll get knocked out, if WDW has to re-close ( who knows? They’re rumored to be in talks with the NBA to complete the season at WWOS like the week before?) if airlines cancel flights, etc. I get it, they’re...
  16. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    So it sounds like USASF asked for gyms to express their intent to go if they announce for last week in June. A little disturbed by the fact that the HHS numbers for lifted restrictions have Florida hit the hardest for deaths relative to population.
  17. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    Yeah. At a certain point, we will have to make decisions about economy. What I’m speaking to is comfort in this industry. Bodily contact, large gatherings and travel specifically. Yes, I understand completely that opening our economy is necessary and desirable. And I believe it will happen...
  18. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    I don’t know, yes the virus does exist on surfaces, but the transmission from surfaces is pretty easy to mitigate with hand washing, disinfectant and not touching your face. Proximity, not as much. Especially with asymptomatic spread. I agree that we will all have exposure. And that it will...
  19. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    Oh, ok. Sorry.. I didn’t read Varsity statement, was just told by our program. If they choose to go forward with that date, it just doesn’t seem likely to me. There will be multiple states without re-opening plans next week.
  20. MomMomMamaMom

    All-Star Covid-19 / Varsity Response

    The numbers have shown that the huge regional differences played out rather distinctly, so varying openings, policies, and phases are going to be a reality over the summer. Plus, it is largely accepted that resurgences are to be expected. So planning is going to be tough. Add in that airlines...
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